
The automotive industry is at a pivotal moment.
As we enter 2025, automakers are navigating a rapidly shifting landscape shaped by technological innovation, electrification, and evolving consumer expectations.
This year promises to bring transformative changes, driven by the software-defined vehicles (SDVs) challenge, the push to be profitable, and the convergence of automotive and technology ecosystems.
What will define success for automakers in 2025? Staying competitive will require agility, collaboration, and the ability to adapt to new challenges while seizing opportunities in a digital-first world. Below, I explore my three 2025 predictions for the automotive industry.
1. Software-defined vehicles (SDVs) are not going away.
The transition from hardware-centric to software-defined vehicles has redefined how automakers compete.
SDVs enable vehicles to adapt through over-the-air updates, integrating new features and services long after the initial sale. These updates extend to autonomous driving, infotainment, and safety systems, transforming the vehicle ownership experience into an ongoing relationship, requiring the collaboration of the vehicle manufacturer and all the vendors delivering these ongoing services to the consumer.
This shift demands a fundamental change in how automakers operate. Traditional manufacturing methods cannot keep pace with the dynamic demands of software development. To thrive, automakers must embrace agile methodologies, fostering collaboration across hardware and software teams.
Artificial intelligence (AI) will play a pivotal role in this transformation.
From real-time decision-making for autonomous systems to predictive analytics for maintenance, AI will help automakers accelerate development cycles, improve safety, and enhance customer satisfaction. Companies that successfully integrate software-first thinking will not only lead in innovation but also unlock new revenue streams through subscription-based services.
In the U.S., the IRS provides a tax credit of up to $7,500 for qualifying new plug-in electric vehicles or fuel cell electric vehicles purchased in 2023 or later. Currently, there is public debate about the potential discontinuation of the federal tax credit and how that could impact consumer decisions.
However, we may be reaching an inflection point in the market where consumer decisions may be more influenced by experience-based capabilities driven by software than financially motivated decisions. No matter the political discourse and subsequent decisions, SDVs are not going away any time soon.
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2. Profitability will remain elusive without careful resource planning.
Electrification remains at the core of the industry’s transformation, but the road ahead is complex. Despite progress, Tesla and BYD are among the few automakers achieving profitability with electric vehicles (EVs). Legacy brands face pressure to balance investments in EVs with the profitability of their traditional combustion engine businesses.
To navigate this landscape, automakers must prioritize cost efficiency in EV production while advancing sustainability initiatives.
Automakers need to balance the need to deliver optimized vehicle software and its technology-related challenges with capacity and resource management. Optimizing production and cost efficiency requires careful planning to achieve a balance between output and resource management to meet production goals and respond to changing market conditions.
Additionally, they need to move faster at scale and improve alignment between physical and digital teams across organizational boundaries. Alignment ensures that on-site, virtual, and supplier teams are on the same page regarding updates and changes, leading to smoother workflows and faster issue resolution.
Lastly, automakers need visibility into resource capacity and financial costs to respond adeptly in a complex regulatory environment. Transparent resource and financial record keeping and adherence to standards are critical for automakers to always be audit-ready and ensure production and compliance are not hindered by supply shortages.
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3. The convergence of technology and collaboration will be essential.
The automotive industry’s future depends on its ability to function as a technology ecosystem. Collaboration between original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), suppliers, and tech companies will be essential to accelerate innovation and scale new solutions.
For example, partnerships with AI and machine learning providers can help automakers improve everything from supply chain visibility to autonomous driving capabilities. As seen in GM’s focus on unifying its supply chain strategy, aligning internal teams and external partners is key to fostering innovation and maintaining customer-centric operations.
Upskilling the workforce will be vital.
Automakers must invest in training programs to equip employees with the skills needed to navigate digital transformation. By fostering a culture of innovation, companies can break down operational silos and improve alignment between physical and digital teams.
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Looking Ahead
The automotive industry’s transformation mirrors a broader shift toward digital-first, customer-focused business models. Automakers that embrace agility, invest in technology, and prioritize sustainability will lead the way into 2025 and beyond. By addressing the challenges of profitability, fostering collaboration, and mastering the complexities of SDVs, the industry can deliver value in an increasingly connected and competitive world.
As Henry Ford revolutionized manufacturing in 1913, today’s automakers have the opportunity to redefine transportation for the next century. With the right strategies, 2025 will mark a turning point in building a smarter, more sustainable, and customer-centric automotive future.
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